Medicaid and Affordable Care Act marketplace enrollment declined by more than 5 million individuals over the past year, according to a new report. The decline is attributed to federal Medicaid funding cuts implemented under the Trump administration and the expiration of enhanced ACA premium subsidies. The enrollment losses affect both traditional Medicaid populations and marketplace coverage, with implications for managed care organizations' membership and revenue projections. The timing and scope of these reductions represent a significant shift in coverage patterns following the post-pandemic enrollment peak.
Why it mattersA 5 million enrollment drop directly reduces MCO capitation revenue and member months while potentially increasing uncompensated care costs as formerly covered individuals lose coverage.
Managed Care · Finance
CMS announced July 7 that it is eliminating the fast-track review process for certain Medicaid section 1115 demonstration extensions, formally rescinding 2015 guidance that established the expedited pathway. The change stems from a July 2025 reconciliation bill requirement that the CMS chief actuary certify budget neutrality for all 1115 demonstrations, effective January 1, 2027. CMS stated the fast-track process would make it difficult to evaluate renewal applications under the new budget neutrality certification requirements. The bulletin did not specify when the elimination takes effect, but states should anticipate longer review timelines for waiver extensions.
Why it mattersManaged care organizations operating under 1115 waivers face increased uncertainty and longer approval timelines for waiver extensions, requiring earlier engagement with states on renewal planning and potential operational adjustments if extensions are delayed.
Managed Care · Finance
Analysis of 2024 American Community Survey data examines demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of direct care workers, including home health aides, personal care aides, and nursing assistants across long-term care settings. The workforce profile covers workers in nursing facilities, residential care, home health, and nonresidential services for older adults and people with disabilities. Federal policy changes affecting workforce stability, reimbursement, and recruitment directly impact Medicaid managed care organizations' ability to build adequate LTSS provider networks and meet access standards.
Why it mattersMedicaid managed care organizations contracting for LTSS must understand direct care workforce composition to address network adequacy requirements, develop recruitment strategies, and respond to federal reimbursement policies that affect provider availability.
LTSS · Managed Care